TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 16:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Full time2-2Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✕ Missed
Beşiktaş4th place
KAS 24%X 27%BJK 49%

What does the market say?

KasımpaşaDrawBeşiktaşRinvalo24%27%49%
Market18%23%59%

✓ Agree · both back Beşiktaş

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 113 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 1.0, Kasımpaşa -0.2.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.6
Over 2.548%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.15X27%3.67249%2.06
Double chance
1X51%1.95X276%1.321273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Beşiktaş2-2 probability 4.9% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Beşiktaş1 November 20262-2
Beşiktaş – Kasımpaşa19 March 20262-1
Kasımpaşa – Beşiktaş26 October 20251-1
Kasımpaşa – Beşiktaş7 April 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Kasımpaşa2 November 20241-3
Kasımpaşa – Beşiktaş26 May 20242-1