TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 13:00 · Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Başakşehir10th place
Full time5-2Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Samsunspor17th place
İBFK 54%X 25%SAM 21%

What does the market say?

BaşakşehirDrawSamsunsporRinvalo54%25%21%
Market52%25%24%

✓ Agree · both back Başakşehir

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Başakşehir lead by 79 rating points.
  • Başakşehir take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.556%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.85X25%3.95221%4.84
Double chance
1X79%1.26X246%2.171275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes56%1.77BTTS no44%2.29

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Başakşehir · Columns: Samsunspor5-2 probability 0.6% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Başakşehir – Samsunspor1 November 20265-2
Başakşehir – Samsunspor9 May 20263-0
Samsunspor – Başakşehir14 December 20250-2
Başakşehir – Samsunspor1 February 20254-0
Samsunspor – Başakşehir18 September 20242-0
Başakşehir – Samsunspor3 March 20241-0