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Süper Lig · Matchday 10Friday 30 October · 17:00 · Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu
Konyaspor14th place
Full time0-4Prediction correct
Galatasaray1st place
KON 21%X 24%GS 54%

What does the market say?

KonyasporDrawGalatasarayRinvalo21%24%54%
Market19%22%59%

✓ Agree · both back Galatasaray

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 208 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Konyaspor 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.1, Konyaspor -0.5.
  • If Konyaspor score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.556%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Galatasaray win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.69X24%4.10254%1.84
Double chance
1X46%2.19X279%1.271276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes57%1.77BTTS no43%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Konyaspor · Columns: Galatasaray0-4 probability 2.6% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Konyaspor – Galatasaray30 October 20260-4
Konyaspor – Galatasaray21 February 20262-0
Galatasaray – Konyaspor22 September 20253-1
Galatasaray – Konyaspor25 January 20251-0
Konyaspor – Galatasaray16 August 20241-2
Konyaspor – Galatasaray26 May 20241-3