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Bundesliga · Matchday 31Saturday 24 April · 14:30 · Stadion im Borussia-Park
M'gladbach18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Schalke 0417th place
BMG 56%X 25%S04 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: M'gladbach -0.6, Schalke 04 -1.2.
  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.542%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.80X25%3.95219%5.26
Double chance
1X81%1.23X244%2.261275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.542%2.36Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes44%2.25BTTS no56%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: M'gladbach · Columns: Schalke 041-0 probability 13.9%

Form

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Head to head

M'gladbach – Schalke 044 February 20230-0
Schalke 04 – M'gladbach13 August 20222-2