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Bundesliga · Matchday 31Saturday 24 April · 14:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Freiburg3rd place
VFB 51%X 25%SCF 24%

Prediction

  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Freiburg score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.3
Over 2.564%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Stuttgart win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.94X25%4.00224%4.25
Double chance
1X76%1.31X249%2.061275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.564%1.55Under 2.536%2.82BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Freiburg1-1 probability 10.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stuttgart – Freiburg1 February 20261-0
Freiburg – Stuttgart13 September 20253-1
Stuttgart – Freiburg18 January 20254-0
Freiburg – Stuttgart24 August 20243-1
Freiburg – Stuttgart3 February 20241-3
Stuttgart – Freiburg2 September 20235-0