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Bundesliga · Matchday 31Saturday 24 April · 14:30 · Volksparkstadion
Hamburg15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Elversberg7th place
HSV 49%X 25%SVE 26%

Prediction

  • If Hamburg score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.562%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Hamburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.04X25%3.96226%3.91
Double chance
1X74%1.34X251%1.971275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.61BTTS yes63%1.60BTTS no37%2.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hamburg · Columns: Elversberg1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

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