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Bundesliga · Matchday 31Saturday 24 April · 14:30 · Weserstadion
Werder Bremen5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Bayern Munich1st place
SVW 12%X 17%FCB 71%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 274 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Werder Bremen -0.2.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 32% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.9
Over 2.577%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.36X17%5.98271%1.40
Double chance
1X29%3.49X288%1.141283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.577%1.30Under 2.523%4.28BTTS yes66%1.53BTTS no34%2.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Werder Bremen · Columns: Bayern Munich1-2 probability 8.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Werder Bremen – Bayern Munich14 February 20260-3
Bayern Munich – Werder Bremen26 September 20254-0
Bayern Munich – Werder Bremen7 February 20253-0
Werder Bremen – Bayern Munich21 September 20240-5
Bayern Munich – Werder Bremen21 January 20240-1
Werder Bremen – Bayern Munich18 August 20230-4