TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 31Saturday 24 April · 14:30 · RheinEnergieStadion
Köln13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Mainz9th place
KOE 40%X 27%M05 32%

Prediction

  • If Köln score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Mainz score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.556%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Köln win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.47X27%3.70232%3.08
Double chance
1X68%1.48X260%1.681273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.47

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Köln · Columns: Mainz1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →
KölnLWLDD
MainzWLWLL

Head to head

Köln – Mainz17 January 20262-1
Mainz – Köln24 August 20250-1
Mainz – Köln28 April 20241-1
Köln – Mainz10 December 20230-0
Köln – Mainz15 April 20231-1
Mainz – Köln21 October 20225-0