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Bundesliga · Matchday 9Sunday 8 November · 18:30 · PreZero Arena
Hoffenheim12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Schalke 0417th place
TSG 70%X 19%S04 11%

What's at stake

HoffenheimTop 410%6%3%
Schalke 04Relegation63%74%79%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Hoffenheim lead by 111 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Hoffenheim 0.4, Schalke 04 -1.2.
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.6
Over 2.546%
Both teams score38%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.43X19%5.17211%9.50
Double chance
1X89%1.12X230%3.351281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes38%2.63BTTS no62%1.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hoffenheim · Columns: Schalke 042-0 probability 15.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Hoffenheim – Schalke 049 April 20232-0
Schalke 04 – Hoffenheim14 October 20220-3