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Bundesliga · Matchday 9Saturday 7 November · 17:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Werder Bremen5th place
VFB 59%X 23%SVW 18%

What's at stake

StuttgartTop 433%22%17%
Werder BremenTop 418%15%10%

What does the market say?

StuttgartDrawWerder BremenRinvalo59%23%18%
Market60%21%20%

✓ Agree · both back Stuttgart

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 86 rating points.
  • The market also backs the home side (60%).
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.2
Over 2.566%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X23%4.40218%5.50
Double chance
1X82%1.22X241%2.441277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.566%1.51Market 73%Under 2.534%2.96Market 27%BTTS yes63%1.59Market 66%BTTS no37%2.68Market 34%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: Werder Bremen2-1 probability 9.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stuttgart – Werder Bremen26 April 20261-1
Werder Bremen – Stuttgart14 December 20250-4
Stuttgart – Werder Bremen13 April 20251-2
Werder Bremen – Stuttgart30 November 20242-2
Werder Bremen – Stuttgart21 April 20242-1
Stuttgart – Werder Bremen2 December 20232-0