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Championship · Matchday 37Saturday 13 March · 15:00 · Fratton Park
Portsmouth11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Wrexham18th place
POR 44%X 29%WRE 27%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Portsmouth 2.2 points per game, Wrexham 0.8.
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Portsmouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.25X29%3.50227%3.72
Double chance
1X73%1.37X256%1.801271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Portsmouth · Columns: Wrexham1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Wrexham – Portsmouth24 February 20262-1
Portsmouth – Wrexham5 November 20250-0