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Championship · Matchday 37Saturday 13 March · 15:00 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
West Ham8th place
STK 32%X 27%WHU 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Stoke City -0.3.
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If West Ham score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.561%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a West Ham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.15X27%3.77242%2.40
Double chance
1X58%1.72X268%1.461273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.540%2.53BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: West Ham1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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