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Bundesliga · Matchday 8Saturday 31 October · 14:30 · VELTINS-Arena
Schalke 0417th place
Full time0-2Prediction correct
RB Leipzig4th place
S04 20%X 24%RBL 56%

What does the market say?

Schalke 04DrawRB LeipzigRinvalo20%24%56%
Market25%24%51%

✓ Agree · both back RB Leipzig

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • RB Leipzig lead by 134 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Schalke 04 -0.8.
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.7
Over 2.547%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%5.06X24%4.10256%1.79
Double chance
1X44%2.27X280%1.251276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.547%2.15Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Schalke 04 · Columns: RB Leipzig0-2 probability 10.9% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig31 October 20260-2
RB Leipzig – Schalke 0427 May 20234-2
Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig24 January 20231-6