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Bundesliga · Matchday 8Saturday 31 October · 14:30 · wohninvest WESERSTADION
Werder Bremen5th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Hoffenheim12th place
SVW 36%X 27%TSG 36%

What does the market say?

Werder BremenDrawHoffenheimRinvalo36%27%36%
Market34%24%42%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Werder Bremen 36%, market Hoffenheim 42%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.5
Over 2.560%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Werder Bremen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.74X27%3.66236%2.76
Double chance
1X64%1.57X264%1.571273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.49BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.69

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Werder Bremen · Columns: Hoffenheim2-0 probability 5.4% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim31 October 20262-0
Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen9 May 20261-0
Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim27 January 20260-2
Werder Bremen – Hoffenheim16 February 20251-3
Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen29 September 20243-4
Hoffenheim – Werder Bremen3 March 20242-1