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Bundesliga · Matchday 8Sunday 1 November · 14:30 · Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin16th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Köln13th place
FCU 40%X 28%KOE 33%

What does the market say?

Union BerlinDrawKölnRinvalo40%28%33%
Market37%26%37%

✓ Agree · both back Union Berlin

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Köln score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.556%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Union Berlin win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.53X28%3.60233%3.06
Double chance
1X67%1.49X260%1.661272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.47

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Union Berlin · Columns: Köln1-1 probability 12.3% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Union Berlin – Köln1 November 20261-1
Union Berlin – Köln2 May 20262-2
Köln – Union Berlin20 December 20250-1
Köln – Union Berlin11 May 20243-2
Union Berlin – Köln20 December 20232-0
Union Berlin – Köln4 March 20230-0