TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Bundesliga · Matchday 8Sunday 1 November · 16:30 · Deutsche Bank Park
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
Full time3-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Hamburg15th place
SGE 57%X 24%HSV 19%

What does the market say?

Eintracht FrankfurtDrawHamburgRinvalo57%24%19%
Market60%21%19%

✓ Agree · both back Eintracht Frankfurt

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Eintracht Frankfurt lead by 80 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Eintracht Frankfurt -0.2, Hamburg -1.0.
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Hamburg score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.2
Over 2.563%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Eintracht Frankfurt win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.76X24%4.20219%5.16
Double chance
1X81%1.24X243%2.321276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.72BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt · Columns: Hamburg3-1 probability 6.8% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburg1 November 20263-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – Hamburg2 May 20261-2
Hamburg – Eintracht Frankfurt20 December 20251-1