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Bundesliga · Matchday 8Saturday 31 October · 14:30 · WWK Arena
Augsburg10th place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Freiburg3rd place
FCA 37%X 28%SCF 36%

What does the market say?

AugsburgDrawFreiburgRinvalo37%28%36%
Market32%25%44%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Augsburg 37%, market Freiburg 44%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Augsburg take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Freiburg score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.556%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Augsburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.71X28%3.63236%2.81
Double chance
1X64%1.55X263%1.581272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Augsburg · Columns: Freiburg1-2 probability 8.3% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Augsburg – Freiburg31 October 20261-2
Augsburg – Freiburg18 January 20262-2
Freiburg – Augsburg23 August 20251-3
Augsburg – Freiburg2 March 20250-0
Freiburg – Augsburg19 October 20243-1
Augsburg – Freiburg25 February 20242-1