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Conference League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 5 November · 17:45 · Cepheus Park Randers
AGF Aarhus25th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Braga16th place
AGF 44%X 22%SCB 34%

What does the market say?

AGF AarhusDrawBragaRinvalo44%22%34%
Market25%27%48%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo AGF Aarhus 44%, market Braga 48%

Prediction

  • If AGF Aarhus score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Braga score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a AGF Aarhus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.27X22%4.60234%2.93
Double chance
1X66%1.52X256%1.791278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Market 49%Under 2.542%2.40Market 51%BTTS yes61%1.63Market 51%BTTS no39%2.59Market 49%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: AGF Aarhus · Columns: Braga1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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