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Conference League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 5 November · 17:45 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Freiburg18th place
TS 52%X 21%SCF 27%

What does the market say?

TrabzonsporDrawFreiburgRinvalo52%21%27%
Market39%26%36%

✓ Agree · both back Trabzonspor

Prediction

Key factors
  • The Bundesliga average is 101 points above the Süper Lig average.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Freiburg score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.91X21%4.82227%3.70
Double chance
1X73%1.37X248%2.101279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Market 61%Under 2.542%2.39Market 39%BTTS yes60%1.68Market 65%BTTS no40%2.47Market 35%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Freiburg1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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