MJA 57%X 20%BOR 23%
What does the market say?
MjällbyDrawBorac Banja LukaRinvalo57%20%23%Market43%27%30%
✓ Agree · both back Mjällby
Prediction
Key factors
- Mjällby lead by 60 points on the European rating.
- If Mjällby score first, they win 78% of the time
- If Borac Banja Luka score first, they win 49% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Mjällby win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.77X20%5.02223%4.26
Double chance
1X77%1.31X243%2.301280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Market 45%Under 2.542%2.38Market 55%BTTS yes58%1.73Market 50%BTTS no42%2.37Market 50%
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Mjällby · Columns: Borac Banja Luka1-1 probability 11.1%
Mjällby12th place
Borac Banja Luka14th place