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Conference League · League phase, matchday 3Thursday 5 November · 17:45 · Europa Point Stadium
Lincoln Red Imps34th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Hajduk Split8th place
LIN 24%X 21%HAJ 55%

What does the market say?

Lincoln Red ImpsDrawHajduk SplitRinvalo24%21%55%
Market12%20%68%

✓ Agree · both back Hajduk Split

Prediction

Key factors
  • Hajduk Split lead by 206 points on the European rating.
  • If Lincoln Red Imps score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If Hajduk Split score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Hajduk Split win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
124%4.23X21%4.73255%1.81
Double chance
1X45%2.23X276%1.311279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.557%1.77Market 55%Under 2.543%2.31Market 45%BTTS yes57%1.75Market 46%BTTS no43%2.33Market 54%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lincoln Red Imps · Columns: Hajduk Split1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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