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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 26 November · 17:45 · American Express Stadium
Brighton7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Universitatea Craiova36th place
BHA 73%X 15%UNI 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brighton lead by 212 points on the European rating.
  • If Brighton score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Universitatea Craiova score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.36X15%6.59211%8.70
Double chance
1X89%1.13X227%3.751285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Brighton · Columns: Universitatea Craiova2-0 probability 13.4%

Form

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