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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 26 November · 17:45 · Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Iberia 199917th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Getafe14th place
IBE 62%X 19%GET 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Iberia 1999 lead by 108 points on the European rating.
  • If Iberia 1999 score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Getafe score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Iberia 1999 win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.60X19%5.40219%5.23
Double chance
1X81%1.24X238%2.661281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.558%1.74Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Iberia 1999 · Columns: Getafe1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

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