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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 26 November · 17:45 · Tynecastle Park
Heart of Midlothian16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Monaco27th place
HEA 33%X 22%MON 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Monaco lead by 128 points on the European rating.
  • If Heart of Midlothian score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Monaco score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Monaco win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.07X22%4.57246%2.19
Double chance
1X54%1.84X267%1.481278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.55

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Heart of Midlothian · Columns: Monaco1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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