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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 26 November · 17:45 · Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Pafos FC29th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
FC Midtjylland25th place
PAF 38%X 22%MID 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • FC Midtjylland lead by 86 points on the European rating.
  • If Pafos FC score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If FC Midtjylland score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a FC Midtjylland win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.65X22%4.55240%2.48
Double chance
1X60%1.68X262%1.601278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Pafos FC · Columns: FC Midtjylland1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

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