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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 26 November · 17:45 · Arena Egnatia
Egnatia11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Lincoln Red Imps23rd place
EGN 64%X 18%LIN 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Egnatia lead by 122 points on the European rating.
  • If Egnatia score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Lincoln Red Imps score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X18%5.52218%5.58
Double chance
1X82%1.22X236%2.781282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.35BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Egnatia · Columns: Lincoln Red Imps2-0 probability 10.6%

Form

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