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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 26 November · 15:30 · Ortalıq Stadion Almatı
Kairat Almaty20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Mjällby26th place
KAI 31%X 22%MJA 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Mjällby lead by 138 points on the European rating.
  • If Kairat Almaty score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Mjällby score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Mjällby win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.20X22%4.58247%2.13
Double chance
1X53%1.88X269%1.451278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kairat Almaty · Columns: Mjällby1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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