TR
Picks
Conference League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 26 November · 20:00 · Vasil Levski National Stadium
CSK 27%X 21%TS 52%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 177 points on the European rating.
  • If CSKA Sofia score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.73X21%4.66252%1.93
Double chance
1X48%2.07X273%1.371279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.43

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: CSKA Sofia · Columns: Trabzonspor1-1 probability 11.6%