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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4Thursday 26 November · 20:00
Inter Club d'Escaldes18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
FC Copenhagen8th place
INT 56%X 20%COP 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter Club d'Escaldes lead by 54 points on the European rating.
  • If Inter Club d'Escaldes score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If FC Copenhagen score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Inter Club d'Escaldes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X20%5.00224%4.12
Double chance
1X76%1.32X244%2.261280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter Club d'Escaldes · Columns: FC Copenhagen1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

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