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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 20:00 · Estádio da Luz
Benfica1st place
Full time4-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Celtic35th place
BEN 74%X 15%CEL 11%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Benfica lead by 214 points on the European rating.
  • If Benfica score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Celtic score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
174%1.36X15%6.60211%8.87
Double chance
1X89%1.13X226%3.781285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes45%2.24BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Benfica · Columns: Celtic4-1 probability 3.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Benfica – Celtic15 October 20264-1