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Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 17:45 · Red Bull Arena Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg21st place
Full time0-4Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Milan24th place
RED 35%X 22%MIL 43%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Milan lead by 106 points on the European rating.
  • If Red Bull Salzburg score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Milan score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Milan win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.84X22%4.51243%2.35
Double chance
1X57%1.74X265%1.541278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Red Bull Salzburg · Columns: Milan0-4 probability 1.3% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Red Bull Salzburg – Milan15 October 20260-4