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Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 17:45 · Stadion Z'dežele
Celje29th place
Full time0-3Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Omonia Nicosia11th place
CEL 55%X 20%OMO 25%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Celje lead by 46 points on the European rating.
  • If Celje score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Omonia Nicosia score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Celje win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.82X20%4.92225%4.02
Double chance
1X75%1.33X245%2.211280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes59%1.71BTTS no41%2.42

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celje · Columns: Omonia Nicosia0-3 probability 1.3% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Celje – Omonia Nicosia15 October 20260-3