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Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 17:45 · King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Union Saint-Gilloise6th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✕ Missed
Real Sociedad14th place
GIL 66%X 18%RSO 16%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Union Saint-Gilloise lead by 141 points on the European rating.
  • If Union Saint-Gilloise score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.51X18%5.69216%6.15
Double chance
1X84%1.19X234%2.961282%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Union Saint-Gilloise · Columns: Real Sociedad1-1 probability 10.1% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Union Saint-Gilloise – Real Sociedad15 October 20261-1