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Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 20:00 · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth3rd place
Full time3-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Result correct
Sturm Graz19th place
BOU 74%X 15%STU 11%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 218 points on the European rating.
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Sturm Graz score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
174%1.35X15%6.66211%9.07
Double chance
1X89%1.12X226%3.841285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes44%2.27BTTS no56%1.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Sturm Graz3-0 probability 10.3% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Bournemouth – Sturm Graz15 October 20263-0