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Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 20:00 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo25th place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Exact score
Juventus7th place
CEL 28%X 22%JUV 50%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 162 points on the European rating.
  • The Serie A average is 30 points above the La Liga average.
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 55% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.7
Over 2.557%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Juventus win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.51X22%4.58250%2.01
Double chance
1X50%1.99X272%1.401278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Juventus1-2 probability 9.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Celta Vigo – Juventus15 October 20261-2