TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 20:00 · Groupama Aréna
Ferencvaros4th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Exact score
Viktoria Plzen33rd place
FER 56%X 20%VIK 24%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Ferencvaros lead by 53 points on the European rating.
  • If Ferencvaros score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Viktoria Plzen score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Ferencvaros win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X20%4.97224%4.14
Double chance
1X76%1.32X244%2.261280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.39

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ferencvaros · Columns: Viktoria Plzen2-1 probability 9.8% · final score

Head to head

Ferencvaros – Viktoria Plzen15 October 20262-1