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Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 20:00 · PreZero Arena
Hoffenheim23rd place
Full time2-3Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Beşiktaş8th place
TSG 44%X 22%BJK 34%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • The Bundesliga average is 101 points above the Süper Lig average.
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Hoffenheim win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.28X22%4.58234%2.91
Double chance
1X66%1.52X256%1.781278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hoffenheim · Columns: Beşiktaş2-3 probability 2.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Hoffenheim – Beşiktaş15 October 20262-3