TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 20:00 · Chorten Arena
Jagiellonia Białystok27th place
Full time3-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Ararat-Armenia36th place
JAG 55%X 20%ARA 25%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Jagiellonia Białystok lead by 47 points on the European rating.
  • If Jagiellonia Białystok score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Ararat-Armenia score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Jagiellonia Białystok win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
155%1.82X20%4.93225%4.04
Double chance
1X75%1.33X245%2.221280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes59%1.71BTTS no41%2.41

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Jagiellonia Białystok · Columns: Ararat-Armenia3-1 probability 6.1% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Jagiellonia Białystok – Ararat-Armenia15 October 20263-1