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Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 20:00 · Orange Vélodrome
Marseille34th place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Olympiacos5th place
OM 37%X 22%OLY 41%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Olympiacos lead by 89 points on the European rating.
  • If Marseille score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Olympiacos score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Olympiacos win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.68X22%4.51241%2.47
Double chance
1X59%1.68X263%1.591278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marseille · Columns: Olympiacos0-1 probability 6.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Marseille – Olympiacos15 October 20260-1