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Europa League · League phase, matchday 2Thursday 15 October · 20:00 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen20th place
Full time1-1Prediction wrong
Levski Sofia17th place
NEC 38%X 22%LEV 40%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Levski Sofia lead by 86 points on the European rating.
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Levski Sofia score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Levski Sofia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.65X22%4.51240%2.49
Double chance
1X60%1.67X262%1.601278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: NEC Nijmegen · Columns: Levski Sofia1-1 probability 11.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

NEC Nijmegen – Levski Sofia15 October 20261-1