TR
Picks
Europa League · League phase, matchday 8Thursday 28 January · 20:00 · Vitality Stadium
BOU 73%X 15%HAP 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 213 points on the European rating.
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Hapoel Be'er Sheva score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.36X15%6.61211%8.75
Double chance
1X89%1.13X227%3.771285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes45%2.23BTTS no55%1.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Hapoel Be'er Sheva2-0 probability 13.5%