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Europa League · League phase, matchday 8Thursday 28 January · 20:00 · Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Sturm Graz19th place
DIN 51%X 21%STU 29%

Prediction

  • If Dinamo Zagreb score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Sturm Graz score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Dinamo Zagreb win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.98X21%4.79229%3.50
Double chance
1X71%1.40X249%2.021279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.41BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.52

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Dinamo Zagreb · Columns: Sturm Graz1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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