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Europa League · League phase, matchday 8Thursday 28 January · 20:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan24th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Ararat-Armenia36th place
MIL 71%X 16%ARA 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Milan lead by 190 points on the European rating.
  • If Milan score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Ararat-Armenia score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
171%1.40X16%6.29213%7.77
Double chance
1X87%1.15X229%3.471284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.29BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Milan · Columns: Ararat-Armenia2-0 probability 12.7%

Form

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