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Europa League · League phase, matchday 8Thursday 28 January · 20:00 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo25th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Lillestrøm31st place
CEL 53%X 21%LIL 27%

Prediction

  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Lillestrøm score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.90X21%4.86227%3.72
Double chance
1X73%1.37X247%2.111279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.71Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Lillestrøm1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

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