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Europa League · League phase, matchday 8Thursday 28 January · 20:00 · Orange Vélodrome
Marseille34th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Anderlecht22nd place
OM 43%X 22%AND 36%

Prediction

  • If Marseille score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Anderlecht score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Marseille win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.34X22%4.60236%2.81
Double chance
1X64%1.55X257%1.751278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Marseille · Columns: Anderlecht1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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