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Europa League · League phase, matchday 8Thursday 28 January · 20:00 · Pankritio Stadium
OFI26th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Lech Poznan32nd place
OFI 48%X 21%LEC 30%

Prediction

  • If OFI score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Lech Poznan score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a OFI win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.06X21%4.73230%3.29
Double chance
1X70%1.44X252%1.941279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.55

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: OFI · Columns: Lech Poznan1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

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