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Europa League · League phase, matchday 8Thursday 28 January · 20:00 · Red Bull Arena Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg21st place
Rinvalo prediction1-2
Crystal Palace15th place
RED 30%X 22%CRY 49%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Crystal Palace lead by 151 points on the European rating.
  • If Red Bull Salzburg score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.7
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Crystal Palace win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.36X22%4.60249%2.06
Double chance
1X52%1.94X270%1.421278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.50

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Red Bull Salzburg · Columns: Crystal Palace1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

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