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Europa League · League phase, matchday 8Thursday 28 January · 20:00 · Joseph Marien Stadium
Union Saint-Gilloise6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Celtic35th place
GIL 69%X 17%CEL 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Union Saint-Gilloise lead by 169 points on the European rating.
  • If Union Saint-Gilloise score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Celtic score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.45X17%6.02214%6.98
Double chance
1X86%1.17X231%3.231283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.31BTTS yes49%2.02BTTS no51%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Union Saint-Gilloise · Columns: Celtic2-0 probability 12.0%

Form

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