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Europa League · League phase, matchday 8Thursday 28 January · 20:00 · Doosan Aréna
Viktoria Plzen33rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1
Jagiellonia Białystok27th place
VIK 48%X 21%JAG 31%

Prediction

  • If Viktoria Plzen score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Jagiellonia Białystok score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Viktoria Plzen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.10X21%4.70231%3.22
Double chance
1X69%1.45X252%1.911279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Viktoria Plzen · Columns: Jagiellonia Białystok1-1 probability 11.6%

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