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Championship · Matchday 37Saturday 13 March · 15:00 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Lincoln City16th place
WOL 61%X 23%LIN 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Wolverhampton lead by 74 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wolverhampton 0.7, Lincoln City -0.1.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.557%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.65X23%4.34216%6.19
Double chance
1X84%1.19X239%2.551277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.557%1.74Under 2.543%2.34BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Lincoln City1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

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